March 11, 2013

Design of Observational Studies, Paul Rosenbaum

Design of Observational Studies PDF Download Ebook. Paul R. Rosenbaum offers complete introduction to statistical inference in observational studies and a detailed discussion of the principles that guide the design of observational studies.

An observational study is an empiric investigation of effects caused by treatments when randomized experimentation is unethical or infeasible. Observational studies are common in most fields that study the effects of treatments on people, including medicine, economics, epidemiology, education, psychology, political science and sociology. The quality and strength of evidence provided by an observational study is determined largely by its design.

This book is divided into four parts. Chapters 2, 3, and 5 of Part I cover concisely, in about one hundred pages, many of the ideas discussed in Rosenbaum’s Observational Studies (also published by Springer) but in a less technical fashion. Part II discusses the practical aspects of using propensity scores and other tools to create a matched comparison that balances many covariates.

Part II includes a chapter on matching in R. In Part III, the concept of design sensitivity is used to appraise the relative ability of competing designs to distinguish treatment effects from biases due to unmeasured covariates. Part IV discusses planning the analysis of an observational study, with particular reference to Sir Ronald Fisher’s striking advice for observational studies, "make your theories elaborate."

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Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide 3rd Edition, Vose

Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide 3rd Edition PDF Download Ebook. David Vose offers comprehensive guide for eh risk analyst and decision maker. Based on the author's extensive experience in solving real-world risk problems, this book is an invaluable aid to the risk analysis practitioner.

By providing the building blocks of risk-based thinking the author guides the reader through the steps necessary to produce a realistic risk-based thinking the author guides the reader through the steps necessary to produce a realistic risk analysis and offers general and specific techniques to cope with most common and challenging risk modeling problems. A wide range of solved examples is used to illustrate these technique and how they can be put together to make the best possible risk-based decisions.

This text has been thoroughly updated and expanded considerably with five new chapters for the risk manager, including how to plan and assess the quality of risk analysis, as well as new chapters for this risk analysis, as well as new chapters for the risk analysis modeller on summation of random variables, causality, optimization, insurance and finance modelling, forecasting, model validation and common errors, capital investment and microbial risk assessment.

This new edition provides a greater focus on business and includes applications in a wide range of different settings. It breaks down techniques into types of modelling issues (like distribution fitting, correlation and time series forecasting) and then applies them with easy-to-follow examples. Author explains powerful and proven Monte Carlo simulation and numerical techniques for dealing with uncertainty.

This text includes recent innovations in modelling like fast Fourier transforms and copulas with over 150 examples models and over 400 illustrations. Written in an informal manner with a practical rather than academic focus, this book discusses the planning, uses and abuses of risk analysis with compendium of almost eighty distribution types and their uses.

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Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis PDF Download Ebook. Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson take the relatively new concept of structured analytic techniques, defines its place in a taxonomy of analytic methods, and moves it a giant leap forward. It describes 50 techniques that are divided into eight categories.

Each structured technique involves a step-by-step process that externalizes an individual analyst s thinking in a manner that makes it readily apparent to others, thereby enabling it to be shared, built on, and easily critiqued by others. This structured and transparent process combined with the intuitive input of subject matter experts is expected to reduce the risk of analytic error.

Our current high tech, global environment increasingly requires collaboration between analysts with different areas of expertise and analysts representing different organizational perspectives. Structured analytic techniques are the ideal process for guiding the interaction of analysts within a small team or group.

Each step in a technique prompts relevant discussion within the team, and such discussion generates and evaluates substantially more divergent information and more new ideas than a team that does not use a structured process.

By defining the domain of structured analytic techniques, providing a manual for using and teaching these techniques, and outlining procedures for evaluating and validating these techniques, this book lays a common ground for continuing improvement of how analysis is done.

These techniques are especially needed in the field of intelligence analysis where analysts typically deal with incomplete, ambiguous and sometimes deceptive information. However, these practical tools for analysis are also useful in a wide variety of professions including law enforcement, medicine, finance, and business.

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March 7, 2013

New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis

New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis PDF Download Ebook. Helmut L├╝tkepohl provides a detailed introduction to the main steps of analyzing multiple time series, model specification, estimation, model checking, and for using the models for economic analysis and forecasting. The book now includes new chapters on cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, cointegrated VARMA processes and multivariate ARCH models.

The book bridges the gap to the difficult technical literature on the topic. It is accessible to graduate students in business and economics. In addition, multiple time series courses in other fields such as statistics and engineering may be based on it.

The book is oriented towards econometric applications; the text was prepared with economics and business students in mind, and examples and exercises are chosen accordingly. The text presents a collection of many of the topics currently treated in the literature. a ] this new version of a previous book by the author represents a timely addition to the time series and econometric literature. a ] The selection of topics responds to current trends in the literature.

Like its predecessor, this book provides the most complete coverage of stationary vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models of any book. Incorporating more than six chapters of new material, this book also provides extensive coverage of the vector error-correction model (VECM) for cointegrated processes, structural VARs, structural VECMs, cointegrated VARMA processes, and multivariate models for conditionally heteroskedastic processes.

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A Companion to Theoretical Econometrics, Baltagi

A Companion to Theoretical Econometrics PDF Download Ebook. Badi H. Baltagi provides a comprehensive reference to the basics of econometrics. It focuses on the foundations of the field and at the same time integrates popular topics often encountered by practitioners.

The chapters are written by international experts and provide up-to-date research in areas not usually covered by standard econometric texts. This book is an exceptional reference for readers who require quick access to the foundation theories in this field. It focuses on the foundations of econometrics by integrating real-world topics encountered by professionals and practitioners.

This book draws on up-to-date research in areas not covered by standard econometrics texts, organized to provide clear, accessible information and point to further readings. Badi H. Baltagi is George Summey, Jr. Professor of Liberal Arts and Professor of Economics at Texas A & M University. He is a fellow and associate editor of the Journal of Econometrics, associate editor of Econometric Reviews, co-editor of Empirical Economics, and a recipient of the Multa Scripsit Award for Econometric Theory.

Chapters are organized to provide clear information and to point to further readings on the subject. Important topics covered include: serial correlation heteroskedasticity nonparametric and semiparametric models count and panel data regression models spatial correlation.

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March 6, 2013

Econometric Methods with Applications in Business and Economics

Econometric Methods with Applications in Business and Economics PDF Download Ebook. Christiaan Heij, Paul de Boer, Philip Hans Franses and Teun Kloek describe econometric methods to support decision making. This book provides this, encouraging an active engagement with these methods by means of examples and exercises, so that the student develops a working understanding and hands-on experience with current day econometrics.

Taking a 'learning by doing' approach, it covers basic econometric methods (statistics, simple and multiple regression, nonlinear regression, maximum likelihood, and generalized method of moments), and addresses the creative process of model building with due attention to diagnostic testing and model improvement.

Its last part is devoted to two major application areas: the econometrics of choice data (logit and probit, multinomial and ordered choice, truncated and censored data, and duration data) and the econometrics of time series data (univariate time series, trends, volatility, vector autoregressions, and a brief discussion of SUR models, panel data, and simultaneous equations).

Real-world text examples and practical exercise questions stimulate active learning and show how econometrics can solve practical questions in modern business and economic management. This book focuses on the core of econometrics, regression, and covers two major advanced topics, choice data with applications in marketing and micro-economics, and time series data with applications in finance and macro-economics.

Learning-support features include concise, manageable sections of text, frequent cross-references to related and background material, summaries, computational schemes, keyword lists, suggested further reading, exercise sets, and online data sets and solutions. Derivations and theory exercises are clearly marked for students in advanced courses.

This textbook is perfect for advanced undergraduate students, new graduate students, and applied researchers in econometrics, business, and economics, and for researchers in other fields that draw on modern applied econometrics.

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Econometrics: Theory & Applications With Eviews

Econometrics: Theory & Applications With Eviews PDF Download Ebook. Ben Vogelvang provides a broad introduction to quantitative economic methods: how models arise, their underlying assumptions and how estimates of parameters or other economic quantities are computed.

The author combines econometric theory with practice by demonstrating its use with the software package EViews. The emphasis is on understanding how to select the right method of analysis for a given situation, and how to actually apply the theoretical methods in the right way. Numerous screenshots of EViews windows have been included to clarify its use.

Economists are regularly confronted with results of quantitative economics research. This text provides integrated discussion of econometric theory and applications with EViews illustrating the benefits of a statistical, mathematical approach to applied econometric research, but avoiding superfluous manual computations.

A quantitative economic research project is simulated in the case studies throughout various chapters using real economic data, showing how to conduct your own econometric research project and write a complete research paper. The author has carefully selected only the relevant statistical and mathematical theory to discuss the application of tests, and the consequences of those tests.

This book is suitable for use on introductory econometrics courses taken as a part of an economics degree or qualification, or for those requiring knowledge on the practical application of EViews to economic data.

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Innovation, Intellectual Property and Economic Growth

Innovation, Intellectual Property, and Economic Growth PDF Download Ebook. Christine Greenhalgh and Mark Rogers offer comprehensive overview of the economic causes and effects of innovation by covering microeconomics, macroeconomics, theoretical and empirical analysis, and policy. This text includes up-to-date coverage of trends and policy in intellectual property and research and development.

This text features mathematics appendix and keywords and questions to assist learning and teaching. Outline lecture slides are available online. What drives innovation? How does it contribute to the growth of firms, industries, and economies? And do intellectual property rights help or hurt innovation and growth?

Uniquely combining microeconomics, macroeconomics, and theory with empirical analysis drawn from the United States and Europe, this book introduces graduate students and advanced undergraduates to the complex process of innovation. By addressing all the major dimensions of innovation in a single text, authors are able to show how outcomes at the microlevel feed through to the macro-outcomes that in turn determine personal incomes and job opportunities.

In four sections, this textbook comprehensively addresses the nature of innovation and intellectual property, the microeconomics and macroeconomics of innovation, and economic policy at the firm and macroeconomic levels. Among the topics fully explored are the role of intellectual property in creating incentives to innovate; the social returns of innovation; the creation and destruction of jobs by innovation; whether more or fewer intellectual property rights would give firms better incentives to innovate; and the contentious issues surrounding international treaties on intellectual property.

Clearly organized and highly readable, the book is designed to be accessible to readers without advanced economics backgrounds. Most technical materials appear in boxed inserts and appendixes, and numerous graphs and tables elucidate abstract concepts.

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March 5, 2013

Modern Industrial Organization 4th Edition, Carlton

Modern Industrial Organization 4th Edition PDF Download Ebook. Dennis W. Carlton and Jeffrey M. Perloff describe the traditional structure-conduct-performance framework by using the latest advances in microeconomic theory, including transaction cost analysis, game theory, contestability, and information economics.

Fully updated to reflect new trends and topics, the book focuses on providing students with a clear, unified structure for analyzing theories and empirical evidence about the organization of firms and industries. In-depth modern coverage provides a thorough background in microeconomic theory.

Two-color figures and interior design add to the accessibility and pedagogical effectiveness of the text. Practical examples illustrate the role of individual theories in current policy debates. Appropriate for use in two-semester courses, this book can easily be used for shorter courses by following the suggested course outlines.

Designed for flexibility, this text can be tailored for use with different audiences and includes starred sections and technical appendices that can be used to increase the level of difficulty and depth of coverage.

This text includes discussion of recent important applications, policies, and new theories; new and updated examples to illustrate the role of theory in current policy debates; substantial condensation of the text proper, a two-color interior design and two-color figures throughout; and an all-new extensive Companion Web Site.

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Managerial Economics & Business Strategy 7e, Baye

Managerial Economics & Business Strategy 7th Edition PDF Download Ebook. Michael Baye offers the tools from intermediate microeconomics, game theory, and industrial organization to make sound managerial decisions. Baye is known for its real-world examples, frontier research, inclusion of modern topics not found in other managerial books, as well as balanced coverage of traditional and modern microeconomic tools.

This book begins by teaching managers the practical utility of basic economic tools such as present value analysis, supply and demand, regression, indifference curves, isoquants, production, costs, and the basic models of perfect competition, monopoly, and monopolistic competition.

Adopters and reviewers also praise the book for its real-world examples and because it includes modern topics not contained in any other single managerial economics textbook: oligopoly, penetration pricing, multistage and repeated games, foreclosure, contracting, vertical and horizontal integration, networks, bargaining, predatory pricing, principal–agent problems, raising rivals’ costs, adverse selection, auctions, screening and signaling, search, limit pricing, and a host of other pricing strategies for firms enjoying market power. This balanced coverage of traditional and modern microeconomic tools makes it appropriate for a wide variety of managerial economics classrooms. An increasing number of business schools are adopting this book to replace (or use alongside) managerial strategy texts laden with anecdotes but lacking the microeconomic tools needed to identify and implement the business strategies that are optimal in a given situation.

Chapters 1–4 have been revised to include more timely headlines, updated Inside Business applications, and additional in-text examples. Each chapter also contains new end-of-chapter problems, as well as updated versions of the class-tested problems you enjoyed in the previous edition.

Chapter 5 opens with a new Headline and contains updated examples throughout. It also offers a new Inside Business application that shows how to estimate cost functions using regression techniques, as well as updated and new end-of-chapter problems.

The book retains all of the key signature features of previous editions and incorporates new features to enhance students’ learning experiences and make it easier to teach from the book. These include updated headlines, new and updated inside business applications, and new end-of-chapter material.

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Advanced Microeconomic Theory 3rd Edition, Jehle

Advanced Microeconomic Theory 3rd Edition PDF Download Ebook. Geoffrey A. Jehle and Philip J. Reny give all the core mathematics and modern theory the advanced student must master. Long known for careful development of complex theory, together with clear, patient explanation, this student-friendly text, with its efficient theorem-proof organization, and many examples and exercises, is uniquely effective in advanced courses.

General equilibrium with contingent commodities is described with expanded treatment of social choice, with a simplified proof of Arrow’s theorem and complete, step-by-step development of the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem. Author also describes extensive development of Bayesian games.

There is new section on efficient mechanism design in the quasi-linear utility, private values environment. It is the most complete and easy to follow presentation of any text with over fifty new exercises. It is essential reading for students at Masters level, those beginning a Ph.D and advanced undergraduates. It is a book every professional economist wants in their collection.

Complex theory is patiently and carefully developed, then clearly explained and illustrated because even well-prepared students benefit from additional math help. Careful explanations, efficient theorem-proof organization, and many examples and exercises make this a uniquely effective text for advanced courses. Students will appreciate the clear writing and accessible style.

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March 2, 2013

Principles of Microeconomics 5th Edition, Robert Frank

Principles of Microeconomics 5th Edition PDF Download Ebook. Robert Frank and Ben Bernanke introduce a coherent short list of core principles and reinforce them by illustrating and applying each in numerous contexts. With engaging questions, explanations and exercises, the authors help students relate economic principles to a host of everyday experiences such as going to the ATM or purchasing airline tickets.

Throughout this process, the authors encourage students to become “economic naturalists:” people who employ basic economic principles to understand and explain what they observe in the world around them. It is thoroughly updated with examples that connect to current events such as the financial crisis of 2008 and Great Recession of 2007-2009 as well as other topics commonly discussed in the media.

In addition, the text is paired with McGraw-Hill’s market-leading online assignment and assessment solution Connect Economics, providing tools to enhance course management and student learning. It also encourages students to become “Economic Naturalists,” by employing basic economic principles to understand and explain what they observe in the world around them.

An economic naturalist understands, for example, that infant safety seats are required in cars but not in airplanes because the marginal cost of space to accommodate these seats is typically zero in cars but often hundreds of dollars in airplanes. Such examples engage student interest while teaching them to see each feature of their economic landscape as the reflection of an implicit or explicit cost-benefit calculation.

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Principles of Microeconomics 7th Edition, John Taylor

Principles of Microeconomics 7th Edition PDF Download Ebook. John B. Taylor and Akila Weerapana offer concise, yet thorough coverage of current economic theories. Refreshing examples, engaging applications, and streamlined content simplify even the most advanced topics.

This book emphasizes the central idea of economics using real-world examples of how markets work, why markets are efficient when the incentives are right, and why they are inefficient when the incentives are wrong. Author, John B. Taylor, the former Undersecretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, provides unique insights into today's issues. This edition addresses the global financial challenges currently being faced, and recovery from these economic challenges.

Updated graphs, figures, and popular learning features present the latest issues and data, including coverage of the Obama Administration Online learning tools, such as Aplia, the leading homework solution, is available as parts of complete supplement package to further ensure your understanding of economic developments as they happen.

This book brings attention to the needs of today's students by thoroughly refreshing examples, applications, and end-of-chapter problems throughout the text. Streamlined content and pedagogy and the simplification of advanced topics make the material more accessible. Chapter 3, for example, now focuses solely on supply, demand, and market equilibrium, and boxed features have been realigned to maximize accessibility.

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